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Wednesday, December 23, 2015

'majority minority'

A lot is being made of the evident fact that within a couple of decades the US may no longer be a majority-white country.  On the face of it, I have no particular objection to this.  As long as we have a citizenry that is civilized, educated, and responsible, I don't care what color they are.

There is, however, one major caveat to this.  If, over the course of this transition-- and seemingly as a direct result of it-- we seem to be sliding into becoming a third-world country, then this will stop.  There are two major criteria for determining this:

1.  The public schools.  If the public schools as a whole seem to be deteriorating to the level of unruliness and low achievement of ghetto schools, this trend will stop.

2.  Even more obviously, the crime rate.  If the crime rate in general begins to approach that of the ghetto, this trend will stop.

These two things probably go hand in hand.  People of low educational achievement have far more of an incentive to become criminals than others, because they have fewer and more unpalatable options.  If the public schools remain pretty good and even improve in low-income areas, fine.  If the crime rate continues its downward trend of recent decades, hunky dory.  But if these two criteria seem to indicate that we are becoming a third-world country, as a direct result of this demographic transition to 'majority-minority' status, then that trend will stop, and in fact be reversed.  Trend, as they say, is not destiny.

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